5.5 Discussion of Quantitative Findings
Key findings emerging from the statistical analysis indicate that Indigenous people in the MHDCD cohort are significantly more likely to have experienced earlier and greater contact with the criminal justice system and to have experienced greater disadvantage than non-Indigenous people. Indigenous people in the cohort were significantly more likely to: have been in out-of-home-care, to come into contact with police at a younger age and at a higher rate as a victim and offender, to have higher numbers and rates of convictions, more episodes of remand, and higher rates of homelessness than non-Indigenous people. Analysis of the MHDCD cohort has indicated that people with complex needs (multiple diagnoses and disability) in particular are significantly more likely to have earlier contact with police, be more likely to have been Juvenile Justice clients, and to have more police and prison episodes throughout their lives than those with single or no diagnosis.
The findings of this study indicate that Indigenous people have the highest rates of complex needs in the cohort, and that Indigenous people with complex needs are significantly more likely to: have been in OOHC, to have a lower age of first police contact, custody and conviction, to have a higher number of police convictions, to be Juvenile Justice clients and in juvenile custody, and to have a higher number of adult corrections custodial episodes than non-Indigenous people with complex needs. Indigenous people with complex needs in the cohort also have a higher average number of remand episodes than non-Indigenous people with complex needs. The data also highlights that the top four categories of offences by Indigenous people in the cohort were not in the most serious range – theft and related offences, public order offences, offences against justice procedures, government security and government operations, and traffic and vehicle regulatory offences.
Indigenous women in the cohort experienced the highest rate of complex needs. Indigenous women were significantly more likely than non-Indigenous women to have been in out-of-home care as children. They experienced their first police contact at a younger age and had a significantly higher number of police contacts and convictions across their lives than non-Indigenous women. Indigenous women were more likely than non-Indigenous women to have been in custody as juveniles. They had significantly more remand episodes and custodial episodes over their lifetime. Indigenous women with complex needs in particular have significantly higher convictions and episodes of incarceration than their male and non-Indigenous peers. They were more likely to have been homeless and to have been victims of crime than non-Indigenous women in the cohort.
This analysis confirms and extends initial findings that Indigenous women and men in the MHDCD cohort experience multiple, interlocking and compounding disadvantageous circumstances, and highlights their early and frequent contact with criminal justice agencies. The needs of Indigenous people in the cohort emerge as particularly acute and poorly serviced by past and current policy and program approaches. This quantitative analysis informs this study’s broader findings in the Discussion chapter.
